Global demographic change and its implications for military power / Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor.
Tipo de material:
Contenidos:
Preface.
Figures.
Tables.
Summary
Acknowledgments
Abbreviations
Chapter One: Introduction: Organization.
Chapter Two: Numbers Fertility Rates -- Survival Rates -- Migration -- Projections -- Youth Buges to Come? -- Projected Muslim Populations -- Conclusions
Chapter Three: Long-Term Trends in National GDP Forecasts of GDP per Working-Age Population -- Uncertainties in the Relationship Between Aging and GDP -- Conclusions
Chapter Four: The Economic Burden of Aging Populations: Policies Plus People Equals Burden -- A Profile of the Aging World -- The Advanced Countries -- Medical Expenditures -- Ambiguities in the Relationship Between Aging and Medical Expenditures -- Countervidence That Costs May Rise with Aging -- Summing Up Aging and Medical Costs -- Pension Expenditures and the Fiscal Burden -- Implications for the Fiscal Burden, or the Lack Thereof -- Conclusions.
Chapter Five: The Influence of Demographics on the Causes of War.
Chapter Six: The Impact of demographic Trend on Military Power: Manpower, Money, and Technical Expertise -- Manpower -- National Income -- Technical Expertise -- Other -- The Contribution Of Demographics to Various Military Missions -- Nuclear Coercion --Commons Control -- Surveillance -- Conventional Combat -- Raids and Seizures -- Counterinsurgency -- Military Operations Other Than War -- Implications.
Chapter Seven: Implications: Findings -- Major Themes -- The Once and Future Indispensable Nation --The Shrinking Zone of War -- Lessons for the Air Force.
Appendixes: A.Delayed Maternity and Fertility Rates -- B.Trade-Offs Between Fertility Rates and Migration Rates.
Bibliography
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