000			03364cam a2200601 a 4500
003			CEFA
008			110524s2011 cauab b 000 0 eng
010			_a 2011020355
020			_a9780833051776
040			_aESGA _cESGA _beng.
080			_a314.15/LIB
100	1		_aLibicki, Martin C. _d1952- _eautor
245	1	0	_aGlobal demographic change and its implications for military power / _cMartin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor.
250			_a1a ed.
260			_aSanta Monica, CA : _bRAND, _c2011.
300			_axxviii, 141 p. : _bil. col. , maps. col. ; _c23 cm.
490	1		_aRand Corporation monograph series
500			_a"
504			_aIncluye referencias bibliográficas.
505			_tPreface.
505			_tFigures.
505			_tTables.
505			_tSummary
505			_tAcknowledgments
505			_tAbbreviations
505			_tChapter One: Introduction: _aOrganization.
505			_tChapter Two: Numbers _aFertility Rates -- Survival Rates -- Migration -- Projections -- Youth Buges to Come? -- Projected Muslim Populations -- Conclusions
505			_tChapter Three: Long-Term Trends in National GDP _aForecasts of GDP per Working-Age Population -- Uncertainties in the Relationship Between Aging and GDP -- Conclusions
505			_tChapter Four: The Economic Burden of Aging Populations: _aPolicies Plus People Equals Burden -- A Profile of the Aging World -- The Advanced Countries -- Medical Expenditures -- Ambiguities in the Relationship Between Aging and Medical Expenditures -- Countervidence That Costs May Rise with Aging -- Summing Up Aging and Medical Costs -- Pension Expenditures and the Fiscal Burden -- Implications for the Fiscal Burden, or the Lack Thereof -- Conclusions.
505			_tChapter Five: _aThe Influence of Demographics on the Causes of War.
505			_tChapter Six: The Impact of demographic Trend on Military Power: _aManpower, Money, and Technical Expertise -- Manpower -- National Income -- Technical Expertise -- Other -- The Contribution Of Demographics to Various Military Missions -- Nuclear Coercion --Commons Control -- Surveillance -- Conventional Combat -- Raids and Seizures -- Counterinsurgency -- Military Operations Other Than War -- Implications.
505			_tChapter Seven: Implications: _aFindings -- Major Themes -- The Once and Future Indispensable Nation --The Shrinking Zone of War -- Lessons for the Air Force.
505			_tAppendixes: _aA.Delayed Maternity and Fertility Rates -- B.Trade-Offs Between Fertility Rates and Migration Rates.
505			_tBibliography
530			_aAlso available online.
653			_aESTADOS UNIDOS
653			_aFUERZAS ARMADAS
653			_aMOVILIZACION
653			_aPOLITICA MILITAR
653			_aDEMOGRAFIA
653			_aASPECTOS ECONOMICOS
653			_aSEGURIDAD INTERNACIONAL
653			_aGUERRA
700	1		_aShatz, Howard J. _eautor.
700	1		_aTaylor, Julie E., _eautor.
710	2		_aProject Air Force (U.S.) _eautor
830		0	_aRand Corporation monograph series.
856	4		_uhttp://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2011/RAND_MG1091.pdf
942			_2udc _cBK _h355.01/LIB _635501LIB
999			_c45466 _d45466